Change is Mathematically Predictable

This question has been on my mind for a while and I have taken a review of my earlier article on this subject yet again as we approach the election date in Nigeria. I have been pondering on this universal phenomenon. I have wondered how it applies to an individual and to a nation as a whole.
It is my candid opinion that this mathematical identity is true in all cases namely:
Change (C) =F(space, time , attitude). By way of explanation to my non maths readers, this equation says that for change to happen, three variables must be at play. They are space, time, and attitude. This is a function which has a unique solution since we know that change itself must come.
It appears to me that the tensor which guarantees the existence of this change in a given space-time metric (i.e. a space time-metric is a scientific way of measuring a particular space within some time frame) is a universal one and evenly distributed.
This function applies to the individual as well as to a nation, though a lot more complex at the individual level because of the variableness imposed on the Euclidian space for an individual, (this variableness is as a result of motion which an individual is constantly subjected to. For example, today you are in Abuja, next day you may be in Lagos or London), However, this is a constant at the national level, because national boundaries are fixed, baring wars or extreme situations, where national boundaries contract or expand as can be seen in the Nigerian space over Bakassi peninsula during OBJ’

It is my opinion that this identity is much more complex than the Einstein’s field equation. While the Einstein’s Field equation dealt with space- time metric and its tensor momentum only, this equation incorporates another variable called the attitude variable. Attitude variable follows or resembles the Gaussian distribution function because of its natural degree of randomness.
Human behavior is a random one, fairly speaking.
The complexity in the equation can be dealt with when real life assumptions are taking into account.
These assumptions are:
• Change is a constant, itself not subject to change i.e. change those not change.
• The Euclidian space is a constant at national level. This is fairly a good assumption today as nations do not grab lands of another.
• The tensor is universal within the global stage and evenly distributed on the earth.

If we therefore take first order partial derivative on both sides of the equation, we have a somewhat solvable equation in the form

∂_ f(space, time, attitude) = 0
∂t

If we do an incremental accumulation of this function over time we have the equation which is an integration of the function form t0 to tf


tf
∫f(space, time, attitude) =C
t0

Let us say for Nigeria, t0 = 1998 and tf =2011.

If this function equates to Zero, i.e. C= 0, then there will be no change in 2011. If however this equation equates to a positive valued function, then we can experience a positive change. If it equates to a negative value, we will experience a negative change come 2011 or retrogression.
This solution is made more simplified in the Nigerian space because space and time are known variable. Therefore the only real change that will come to Nigeria in 2011 depends on this variable called attitude.
God Help Us.

This function for now looks trivial but perhaps it is the real mathematics of everything that scientists have been looking for, because we can extend it to the entire cosmological existence. Once you remove the attitude variable you will see that the functions narrows to the Einstein’s Field equation and we can also use this equation to explain what happens just before a change takes place or what scientist may call an event horizon.
An Event Horizon is more commonly used to describe the horizon before descent into a black hole you know. Well it is instructive to note that a change cannot occur inside a black hole itself for two reasons, namely:
• There is no light inside a black hole. Since time is necessary for a change effect, and time is a function of light, precisely the speed of light, it therefore means that within the black hole there could be no change at all.
• The Tensor momentum inside a black hole is not expected to be uniform but constantly accelerated, hence the destruction and creation of new energy within this horizon.
So what will existence look like inside a black hole which experiences no time at all?
I am not sure I have the answer.

Enough of these postulations we will pursue it further next time, God willing. But for now let us take a closer look at this new variable called attitude.
I have already said that this variable follows the Gaussian function and therefore can be expressed in the form below.

Where x takes on either of three values and a,b,c are all constants.
However the parameters are just in three quantum steps
1. Positive
2. Non committed or Zero level
3. Negative
+ve
├0
_ve

So we are simply dealing with three levels with varying degrees except for the zero level of course which has no other value than zero itself.
In a national space therefore the predominant attitude will reflect the scale on which the whole nation lies in the attitude scale. This is a simple statistical sample and it is not difficult to solve.
A statistical review of the predominant attitude within the nation space is still frightening.
The political space is still being controlled by money; in essence, money can buy anything in Nigeria, and that includes power. The people are still not ready to fight for their dignity and rights. So as long as these factors are the persistent attitude it appears to me therefore that my solution for the change equation is zero.

In conclusion, there will be no change within the political space in 2011.
However, should we experience an attitudinal shift before the election, or that some strange astronomical intruder shoots its way into the Nigerian political space to distort the present equilibrium, change will be inevitable.
Thank you for reading.

I remain Mr. Henry

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